Impacts Of 10–30-day Atmospheric Oscillation On Persistent Compound Heatwaves In The Yangtze River Delta With Implications For Local Electricity Demand And Supply
ID:100 View Protection:ATTENDEE Updated Time:2025-11-03 16:05:06 Hits:114 Oral Presentation

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Abstract
This document is a template for abstract submitted to the PSC-24 The Yangtze River Delta (YRD) is a hotspot of compound heatwaves characterized by scorching day and sweltering night persisting for more than 3 days. The YRD compound heatwaves are intimately associated with the 10–30-day variations of air temperature, with 46 identified heatwaves during the summers of 1979–2022 mostly occurring within the positive phases of 10–30-day Tmax and Tmin anomalies. The coincidence of positive phases in 10–30-day Tmax and Tmin comes from a dipole pattern of the corresponding potential vorticity (PV) anomalies in the upper troposphere. This dipole PV pattern leads to anomalous descents in the YRD and associated anticyclones in the lower troposphere. As a result, the increased adiabatic heating and incident solar radiation cause the extreme daytime heat. The enhanced humidity in the YRD increases the downward longwave radiation, resulting in the extreme nighttime temperatures. As the increased temperature and humidity enhance stratification stability in the lower troposphere, the coupling between daytime and nighttime heat extremes persists, leading to a compound heatwave. During a YRD compound heatwave, the 10–30-day atmospheric intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) exerts a potential influence on the electricity demand and supply. Continuous extreme heat leads to a dramatic surge in cooling demand. While the influence of 10–30-day ISO on wind energy resources is weak, the dipole pattern of 10–30-day PV anomalies strongly reduces solar energy resources over the mid–lower reaches of the Yellow River, thus exerting greater challenges for electricity supply to the YRD.
Keywords
intraseasonal oscillation,compound heatwave,electricity demand and supply
Speaker
Jianying Li
Associate Professor Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences

Submission Author
Jianying Li Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
Panmao Zhai Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences
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    Nov 20

    2025

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    Nov 24

    2025

  • Nov 10 2025

    Draft paper submission deadline

  • Nov 24 2025

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The Pacific Science Association
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Shantou University
Xiamen University
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